Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 0.020714 0.022957 0.025199 0.027601 0.030096 0.032606 0.035319
2025-02-23 0.016284 0.019825 0.023494 0.027550 0.031880 0.036341 0.041262
2025-03-02 0.013118 0.017432 0.022048 0.027281 0.032986 0.038964 0.045653
2025-03-09 0.010820 0.015651 0.020978 0.027151 0.033995 0.041261 0.049481
2025-03-16 0.008650 0.013763 0.019586 0.026482 0.034252 0.042602 0.052138
2025-03-23 0.007281 0.012661 0.018966 0.026570 0.035247 0.044660 0.055486
2025-03-30 0.005876 0.011364 0.018009 0.026180 0.035628 0.045971 0.057952
2025-04-06 0.004529 0.009987 0.016854 0.025477 0.035584 0.046751 0.059775
2025-04-13 0.003160 0.008396 0.015321 0.024239 0.034855 0.046704 0.060627
2025-04-20 0.002664 0.007983 0.015234 0.024703 0.036069 0.048823 0.063864
2025-04-27 0.001902 0.007039 0.014394 0.024202 0.036116 0.049586 0.065556
2025-05-04 0.001205 0.006038 0.013402 0.023462 0.035841 0.049949 0.066766
2025-05-11 0.000790 0.005499 0.013104 0.023704 0.036883 0.051997 0.070090
2025-05-18 0.000385 0.004799 0.012553 0.023637 0.037591 0.053711 0.073101
2025-05-25 0.000100 0.004074 0.011889 0.023382 0.038045 0.055109 0.075738
2025-06-01 NaN 0.003482 0.011358 0.023260 0.038630 0.056637 0.078500
2025-06-08 NaN 0.002744 0.010491 0.022634 0.038555 0.057362 0.080314
2025-06-15 NaN 0.002359 0.010163 0.022716 0.039342 0.059086 0.083261
2025-06-22 NaN 0.001856 0.009542 0.022352 0.039541 0.060092 0.085359
2025-06-29 NaN 0.001327 0.008751 0.021696 0.039339 0.060596 0.086853
2025-07-06 NaN 0.000758 0.007665 0.020541 0.038455 0.060251 0.087333
2025-07-13 NaN 0.000648 0.007649 0.020973 0.039622 0.062374 0.090691
2025-07-20 NaN 0.000376 0.007066 0.020507 0.039593 0.063032 0.092317